The model learns continuously — older picks reflect weaker earlier versions, so longer windows read lower. Nothing is hidden: switch windows to see recent form and the full record.
Performance over time
Cumulative profit and running win rate, day by day — toggle the metric, hover for detail.
By market
Where the edge is — and isn't. Hit-rate and real-stake ROI per market.
| Market | Settled | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Handicap | 153 | 77.1% | +0.9% |
| Over / Under | 95 | 82.1% | +14.2% |
| Other markets | 63 | 76.2% | +5.0% |
| Match result (1X2) | 47 | 68.1% | +8.5% |
| Double chance | 34 | 82.4% | +6.3% |
| Draw no bet | 8 | 100.0% | +35.4% |
Recent predictions
The raw record — each logged before kickoff, scored after full time.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Model | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept | Boyacá Chicó vs Alianza Valledupar FC | Away +1.5 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 87% | won |
| 16 Sept | Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn | Under 4.5 · 0.5u | 1.28 | 79% | won |
| 15 Sept | Fram Reykjavík vs Breidablik Kópavogur | Away +2 · 3u | 1.30 | 84% | won |
| 15 Sept | Reading FC vs Brentford FC | Home +3 · 3u | 1.20 | — | won |
| 15 Sept | Glentoran FC vs Coleraine FC | Away +1 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 92% | won |
| 15 Sept | West Ham United vs Fulham FC | Away team under 2.5 · 1u | 1.22 | — | lost |
| 15 Sept | Barry Town vs Ammanford | Home · 1u | 1.22 | — | lost |
| 15 Sept | Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers | Away +1.5 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 87% | won |
| 15 Sept | Southend United vs Tamworth | Home or Away · 3u | 1.20 | 87% | won |
| 15 Sept | Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers | Under 4.5 · 2u | 1.20 | 86% | won |
| 15 Sept | Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC | Under 4.5 · 1.5u | 1.20 | 86% | won |
| 15 Sept | Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC | Away +2.5 · 1.5u | 1.18 | 89% | won |
| 15 Sept | FK Třinec vs FK Mladá Boleslav | Under 5.5 · 1.5u | 1.18 | 87% | won |
| 15 Sept | CF Pachuca vs Club León | Under 5.5 · 2u | 1.20 | 86% | won |
| 15 Sept | Avaí SC vs Vila Nova FC | Under 3.5 · 3u | 1.20 | — | won |
| 14 Sept | Víkingur Reykjavík vs Keflavík IF | Home · 3u | 1.20 | 87% | won |
| 14 Sept | Red Star FC vs FC Metz | Away +1.5 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 87% | won |
| 14 Sept | Stal Mielec vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza | Away +1.5 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 87% | won |
| 14 Sept | Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice | Away +1.5 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 87% | won |
| 14 Sept | Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa | Away · 0.5u | 1.44 | 70% | won |
| 14 Sept | Como Calcio vs Parma | Home · 3u | 1.22 | 87% | won |
| 14 Sept | CD Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM | Away +2 · 1.5u | 1.30 | 87% | lost |
| 14 Sept | CSD Municipal vs Deportivo Malacateco | Home · 1u | 1.33 | 85% | lost |
| 14 Sept | Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids 2 | Home · 2.5u | 1.22 | 85% | won |
| 14 Sept | CD Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar | Home or Away · 1.5u | 1.22 | 84% | won |
| 14 Sept | CD Real Tomayapo vs Bolívar | Over 2.5 · 3u | 1.45 | — | won |
| 14 Sept | Portland Thorns vs Chicago Stars FC | Home · 1.5u | 1.27 | — | lost |
| 14 Sept | Independiente vs San Lorenzo | Away +1.5 · 1.5u | 1.19 | 87% | won |
| 13 Sept | RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV | Home · 1u | 1.35 | 76% | won |
| 13 Sept | Siwelele FC vs Lamontville Golden Arrows | Away +1 · 1.5u | 1.18 | 90% | won |
These are the picks. Get them free, before kickoff.
Every prediction you see scored here lands in the Savy's Tips app the moment it's made — with the reasoning, the odds, and live results. Free to start, on iOS, Android and the web.
How we compare
Head-to-head accuracy versus Forebet, FootyStats and WinDrawWin on the same fixtures — benchmarked and scored the same way. Rolling out next, once a few weeks of settled results are on the board.
We'll publish a like-for-like table: for every fixture we and a public tipster both called, who was right and what the flat-stake return was. If we don't beat them, this page will say so.
How it's scored
The rules, so the number can't be gamed.
Locked before kickoff
Every prediction is timestamped and stored before the match starts. Nothing is edited after the result.
Real stakes and flat 1u
We show the model's real staked return and a flat 1-unit ROI side by side — flat can't be gamed by piling on bankers.
Win rate isn't profit
A high strike rate on short odds can still lose money. We lead with ROI — real stakes and flat 1u — because that's the number that actually pays.
Everything settled counts
No hiding losers. Wins, losses and voids are all in the record. Voids are excluded from win rate and ROI.